Affiliate Fraud: Red Flags Every Program Should Watch

by | Aug 10, 2026 | Podcast

Affiliate webinars can bring in a flood of leads and still leave a lot of sales on the table. The difference usually comes down to what happens before, during, and after the webinar. In this episode, I’m showing you how to make affiliate webinars convert better, including how to promote an offer that doesn’t perfectly match your niche, what to ask affiliate managers and partners for before you promote, and how encore webinars can double or even triple sales. These are practical lessons we’ve learned from real promotions, including what worked, what didn’t, and how to get more value from every webinar you run or promote.

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Previous Episodes of The Affiliate Guy

How to Make Affiliate Webinars Convert Better

How to Find What’s Wrong with Your Affiliate Program and Fix It

Affiliate Program Support: 5 Things Your Partners Need

How to Recruit Affiliates Who Keep Promoting

How to Recruit Affiliates from Competitor Leaderboards

How to Get Affiliates to Plan Their Promotions in Advance

Affiliate Fraud: Red Flags Every Program Should Watch

Today, we’re taking a trip to the dark side of affiliate marketing, talking about fraud, rule breaking and nefarious activity. It’s a rare but, costly aspect of running an affiliate program. And today I’ll show you how to spot the fraud, how to prove it, and what to do about it.So this is a topic I’ve Never covered before. 502 podcast episodes, never covered it. Fraud, rule breaking.You know, when affiliates intentionally or sometimes unintentionally, and we’ll talk about that, do something that they shouldn’t be doing. Now, this is not common, but when it happens, it could be a disaster. Like it can cost a lot of money. Again, to be totally clear, this is not to scare you away. If you don’t have an affiliate program, this is not like the don’t start an affiliate program.

This is very uncommon. But when it happens, it’s bad. So you have to be diligent and it requires very little effort. And I’m going to share more about that shortly. I’m going to share what to look for, what are the indicators, how do you even know that there is some potential fraud going on?How do you actually discover it? How do you, how do you root it out, what are the causes, how to prove it, and what to do about it. So first, what do you look for? You have to be on the lookout for fraud. Depending upon the size of your program.I’m gonna give you a rough idea here. For roughly every $100,000 in sales, this is annual sales. Now, if it’s a launch, you know, this would be roughly $100,000 in sales. For every $100,000 in sales, you’re probably going to spend, about five minutes. So, yeah, that means if you’ve got a million dollars in sales, you might spend 50 minutes in a week.

It begins to kind of peter off around the half million dollar mark. So it’s about five minutes per 100,000, up to about a half a million, then gradually goes up from there. If you’re doing $100 million a year affiliate program, does that mean you’re gonna be spending 30 hours? Of course not. I didn’t do the math on that, by the way, so I don’t know what it is, but I want you to commit to spending at least 10 minutes a week for every $200,000 or so, up to about a half million, and then grow from there.

And again, these are rough estimates, but be willing to spend a little bit of time. For most of our clients, we spend about a half hour a week, maybe upwards of an hour. Now, what I’m about to share with you in this what to look for section, these are indicators. These are not necessarily cause for immediate removal. So when I say, for instance, number one, their conversion rate is too high.All right, that doesn’t mean kick them out. Oh, their conversion rate’s high. No, that means that’s the flag that makes you go, Maybe we should look into this. So number one thing to look for, conversion rates that are too high, Clicks to leads. So let’s just say that Overall you’ve had 50,000 clicks and 30,000 leads.

A 60% conversion rate. This person sent 500 clicks and they have 496 leads. That’s a red flag. That could be an issue. We need to look into that.The opposite is true. They’re way too low clicks to leads. Again, using that example, they have 500 clicks and two leads. That’s kind of weird. We should look into that.Their conversion rates are too high. Leads to sales. So on average, let’s say you have 50,000 leads and so far you have 500 sales. A, 1% close rate. And your top affiliates are all averaging between a half percent and 3%.

But this person has 400. Well, that’d be a weird number. They have 200 leads and 70 sales. Again, that does not necessarily mean they’re doing something nefarious. It could be that they have some sort of amazing thing going on with their small number of people.Maybe they only invited their mastermind or their buyers. The only people that they even invited are people who paid them $25,000. And you’re selling a thousand dollar product and they’re going one on one with them. That could be, but it’s a flag to look into it. So those are the four things related to conversion rates.

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The fifth one is they have a flood of clicks followed by droughts. You know, my friend Jeanine Crooks at Shareasale said on one program, and I’m quoting here, on one program, a certain affiliate seemed to be consistently performing at a small but steady level. However, when she reviewed the daily timing of his activity, it turned out that he was hand entering the leads into our program and our competitors programs as well. To keep his conversion rate realistic, he generated clicks during his coffee breaks while working his Day job. So in other words, they sent 1,000 clicks on one day and then none the next day or between the hours of 1 and 3:30, they sent 455 clicks and then the rest of the day sent none.

Natural things would tend to show filtering of clicks over time. They might send 400 in an hour and then only 300 the next hour and only 125 the next hour because it’s filtering off. Now, this again is not a reason to kick somebody out. Why? Because it might have been that they were running ads and their ads account got shut down.Not because they were doing anything wrong, but it’s a reason to look into it more. Another one is just someone comes out of nowhere and they’re a top affiliate and you have no idea who the heck they are. They’ve not been on the leads leaderboard. All of a sudden they’re on the sales leaderboard way up there. And like, who the heck is this person?

The seventh thing to look for is a high refund rate. You know, if your average refund rate is 5%, anything north of 15, I would be investigating deeply. Obviously, if you ever get a complaint of credit card fraud. Now, if it’s a known great affiliate who’s done hundreds or thousands of sales and they have one complaint of credit card fraud, it probably wasn’t them. it was probably somebody who bought and just happened to buy through their affiliate link.I wouldn’t worry about that. But this is a new affiliate. They have nine sales ever, and one of them complained of credit card fraud. I would investigate the other eight and we’ll talk about what to do on that. And then last is complaints of spam.

You know, you’ve got an, email forwarded to your service team and it’s spam, and you trace it back to this affiliate. I’ve seen that happen. Again, in and of itself, not necessarily a kick immediately out, but it’s investigate further. Okay? It’s investigate further.So maybe don’t think of any of these as red flags, but yellow flags, red flags, you’re gone. Now, these could be all be signs of common frauds. I’m going to share a couple of different types of fraud with you. the first is spyware. You know, they have somebody download some spyware, some pop ups, some other adware that inserts it like, and the back end secretly inserts this code into their computer and it inflates their traffic.

All right? They might actually be legitimate customers, but that’s fraudulent activity. We don’t allow spyware Adware, any of that type of stuff in any of our affiliate programs. So that’s breaking the rules. The second is cookie stuffing.You know, this is where they. They literally insert the cookie, the affiliate, like affiliate tracking, on the person’s computer. So whether the user clicked on the affiliate link or not, it’s going to credit that affiliate. Domain squatting is another one. You know, these look official.So mattmcwilliams.com and they get mattmcwilliam.com we have no product, no problem.com for our affiliate training. And they get no product, no problem.com looks official.

And when they go to no product, no problem, it just are no product, no problem. They have one little typo and it redirects them, snags the referral, right? IP spoofing. This is something where they create fake IP addresses to hide their identity.And then the affiliates are literally clicking on their own links to artificially inflate their numbers. That’s a big bad one. Iframes. Using iframes. Basically, it’s kind of like cookie stuffing.Maybe they write a review post and they put an iframe on there that automatically triggers their affiliate link. And so again, these are all things they could be doing. And you don’t know what they’re doing. That’s not the point. The point is they’re doing something.

Postbacks. This is where the fraudulent affiliate, they obtain a transaction ID and they have the address, and then they attempt to bypass the actual. You know, bypass the actual. Like a real affiliate. And they claim commissions for conversions that never actually happened.It’s really like some deep stuff. Never seen it happen. It just can happen. Fake discount codes. So somebody goes to Google and they type in, you know, a discount code for your product.And then it’s like, yeah, click here to retrieve this discount code. And it never actually happens. Maybe they don’t even offer discount codes. But now it’s cookie them. Cause they clicked that link.

And so when they go back and say, oh, screw it, I’m not even gonna bother to try to find a discount code, they just go back to your website. Boom. it’s credited to them, though, because they were the last click. And then if you have pay per call, this is a creative one. I read from Liza Schuber, she’s with Astoria Co.Said affiliates who post fake job opportunities on Craigslist, they’ll ask a potential job seeker to, quote, call and pretend to be a real customer. Stay on the phone for at least three minutes. The fraudulent publisher says, this call is part of the interview process. And then if the job seeker does a good job, they will be called in for an interview, which never happens, of course. It’s just a way of simulating traffic because pay per call is typically based on the length of time.

Now, I would never do three minutes anyway. I would do like, you know, depends on how long it takes to process an order. But you’re paying for the phone calls, so. Well, they’re on the phone call for seven minutes and there you go. So those are all reasons why.Now, going back to what we talked about at the beginning, I’m going to give you some reasons for removal. These are absolutely red flags. You are out if they break the explicit rules. And it’s like a blatant, egregious rule break if they break the law, if they make false claims, if they’re doing trademark bidding, if it’s not allowed. One of the ways, by the way, if you don’t know what trademark bidding is, is where they bid on your name.

Now here’s the thing. If they know that the affiliate manager lives in Fort Wayne, Indiana, like I do, guess what they’ll do? They will say, don’t run ads in that area. Don’t run, they won’t run ads from Illinois, Michigan, Indiana or Ohio. To avoid me catching them, I just go to Google and change my location and I change it to all kinds of different places so I can go look up the trademarked bidding and see if anybody’s bidding on our keywords.And if they are, especially if it doesn’t show up where I’m at and then it does show up when I change my location, they know they’re breaking the rules and I will kick them out in a heartbeat. I will not yellow flag them, I will not reach out to them. I will kick them them out, anything like that. You know, if they’re using scammy tactics, if they’re literally, you know, okay, I search from, you know, the product and it says it’s such and such a scam. We don’t allow that.

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You’re out. You knew what you were doing, you’re out. So from there you gotta dig in, right? so we have some yellow flags, right? We’re seeing some abnormal activity, some conversion rates too low, too high.There’s some weird patterns to the clicks. There’s a little bit of higher refund rate. There’s one complaint about credit card fraud. What do we do now? We want to dig in and think about some things.So number one, are they in contact with you? You know, scammers don’t typically, fraudsters don’t typically reach out to the affiliate manager very much. They’re usually not in contact. They like to hide. So that’s a consideration.

It’s not the end all, be all, but it’s a consideration. Are they always the last click but never the first? So if they have 50 sales and every single one of them had another affiliate assigned to them originally, or 40 of them did, maybe the other 10 had no affiliate. They’re always the last click, but none of their sales, they’re ever the first. Well, we’re talking about cookie stuffing, we’re talking about possible iframe.There’s no way that happens, not on that many sales. So I would remove them. In that case, is their sales page visit duration considerably shorter than normal or longer than normal? You know, okay, your average sales page visit per order is 14 minutes. There’s just three on 32 orders.

There’s no way. Or it’s an hour and 15 minutes. There’s no way. That’s just not possible. Look at the length from the click to the activity.Is it way too short or way too long? Is the IP address the same for multiple purchases? Maybe there’s maybe, they have 50 orders and 10 IPs. There’s no way that happened. What’s the open rate on their emails?You know, if they sent somebody sent a thousand leads, they have a 0% open rate or they have 100% open rate. What’s the bounce rate? Are a lot of their emails bouncing? These are signs of fraud, right? What’s the show up rate for their leads to workshops?

What’s the click through rate? So, well, they sent a thousand leads and none of their people showed up for the webinar, for the workshop, for the live training. Well, the normal show up rate is 27%. So that’s an issue. are all of their buyers coming from one route or route?If you wanna say Route? No, route. Route. Don’t really know. In other words, if you’ve got a big launch and you’ve got a workshop and you got a webinar, got a live stream, you got a Q and a live, you got a sales page and all their sales are from the sales page.That’s a possible sign. Like, okay, there’s no way. None of their people bought on the live stream. If they have enough leads. There’s no way.

None other people bought on the webinar. You know, we want to look at those things. We want to look at a patterns to Their lead signups like, okay, are their email addresses similar? This was probably 12, 13 years ago. And every single lead that this person sent out of hundreds and hundreds was first initial, last namemail.com. there’s no way that’s the case. So that’s not possible. Every single one of them was, their name was Thomas Jones and it was tjonesmail. It was like T.Jones followed by a number. That’s what it was. Oh, Amber Smith. Asmith143gmail.com.

Is it that way for their purchases? Is there a pattern to their names? Do they have, let’s say they have 40 sales and normally all your sales, 40% of buyers upgrade to a VIP version. None of theirs do. All of theirs do.That’s weird. Is their click to their country different? So their clique is from, you know, Spain, but their purchase is in Canada. That’s weird. All their clicks come from the same country, but their purchases are all over the world.That’s fraud. Is their shipping address different from their card address? Is that uncommon? No. Is it common for 15 of 15 sales to have a different shipping address from the card address?

No, that’s just not possible. It’s just not possible. So you dig in now you’ve red flagged things, right? Or it’s like a deep yellow and you’ve like, you’ve proven there’s something there and then you gotta prove it. So if you’ve checked search results, if we’re talking a violation of trademark bidding, check the search results, take screenshots.That’s it. You violated our trademark bidding. I have the right to kick you out. You know, we talked about the time between clicks, okay? There’s always a click at, 9:52 and then another one at 9:53.It’s always one minute later. And every other affiliate has sporadic patterns. Seven minutes, two minutes, one minute, 12 minutes, hour and 14 minutes. Theirs is always one minute. That’s probably a script.

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And I’ve seen that happen. I’ve seen it happen. Where they were able to get into. They hacked the page and they put their script on and it ran at the exact same interval. One minute later, there was another click.So then check your page for scripts. Make sure you get those removed. Right? And then ultimately at the end, click, contact buyers, see if they actually bought, see if they intended to actually buy from this affiliate. This solves the problem.90% of the time you reach out to 10 of their buyers and you say, hey, just want to know, how’d you hear about us? And they Say, oh, I heard about you from so and so. And it’s not the affiliate that actually got the credit. Eight people reply back, and all of them say, a different affiliate. That’s not normal.

They’re doing something. You’ve proven it beyond a shadow of a doubt. So then what do you do about it? What do you do about it? First of all, make sure your affiliate terms are airtight.Are the things that you call fraud actually listed as fraud? Are your rules clear? Okay. You can’t kick an affiliate out for bidding on your trademark terms if you don’t tell them not to. That’s not inherent.Some affiliate programs actually allow it. Some affiliate programs advocate it. So there’s nothing wrong with it, provided that it’s actually allowed. So are, your rules clear? Secondly, when do you warn and when do you remove?

We warn when they break a rule. Like, you know. Yeah. We say, don’t do trademark bidding. Well, here’s the thing.If the term is okay, of course, you know, company I used to work for, Legacy Learning Systems, Learn and Master Guitar. And when I go search for Learn and Master Guitar and they bid on Learn Guitar, that’s not a trademark violation. So we tell them. We say, hey, make sure you do a negative, keyword so you don’t show up. it doesn’t look like you’re bidding on Learn and Master Guitar.

That’s it. Just don’t bid on this exact phrase. And we just teach them. We reach out and we say, hey, don’t do it. If it’s clear they’re running an iframe, they’re out.They’re cookie stuffing, they’re out. They’re doing anything like domain squatting or spyware adware things. Fake discount codes. They are. Bye bye.Like we are kicking them out. Some of the things, it’s a warning. It’s just a warning. Hey, you know, don’t do that. That’s against the rules.Or maybe we need to update our rules. Oh, used a picture that we said you shouldn’t use. Hey, make sure you don’t use it. Right? And then the big thing is act.

You’ve got to take action fast. Take action fast. If you know, beyond a shadow of a doubt there is a problem, you take action to remedy it. If it’s a script on your page, get the script off there right away. You know, there’s nothing wrong with that.It turns out maybe it’s not that affiliate. Like, that’s not even what’s doing. It’s not even this thing. But you Just there’s a weird script, so get it off there. If they’re doing anything nefarious, you gotta kick them out right away and let them know.

Cause the other thing is you don’t wanna just shut down their account and not tell them. Cause then they might still have the ads running or the pop ups running for 36 hours and people are still getting, maybe they’re going to an error page or they’re still running the ads and it could come back to bite you and document everything. Don’t call them either text them or email them so you can document. So if they come back and say you didn’t pay me my commissions, you can go, yeah, because you’re fraud. We got proof right here.

And in case anything ever comes back to bite you, this is very rare, but like somebody files a complaint against you for running adware when you’re not the one doing it. So take action fast. Make sure you contact them, tell them to remove their ads, to shut down their stuff, you’re not going to pay them and make sure they know that. So again, this is not a huge issue, but it’s one that you have to be on top of. So now you know how to find it, how to, how to get like what are the triggers, what are the yellow flags?

Right? You know what to be looking for, you know how to dig in and you know what to do about it. If you got questions about this or anything else, text me anytime at 260-217-4619. I’ve got plenty more stories to share on affiliate fraud. I’m happy to share with you, so feel free to text me anytime at 260-217-4619 if you got any questions about fraud or anything else.And make sure you hit subscribe so you don’t miss the next episode. I’ve got some creative ways to triple your affiliate commissions. You don’t want to miss it. I’ll see you then. Thank you so much for listening today. Remember to check out all of our deep dives into affiliate marketing at the Affiliateguide TV. And if you have a question, ask it@asktheaffiliateguy.com who knows, maybe you even be featured on an upcoming episode. And lastly, if you haven’t yet, make sure to leave a rating and review wherever you’re listening to this episode.